當經濟指標統治我們:從GDP、失業率、通貨膨脹、貿易差額…反思我們的經濟生活

中文書
人文社科
9折$ 342
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5.0
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2019/12/09
劇透警告
當年印度人創造了數字,應該沒想到它如今會被廣泛地運用在我們的日常生活當中。
尤其我國的領導者經常會拿數字、指標出來告訴大眾,目前的經濟狀況是幾年幾年最佳,但我們必須產生質疑的是,這樣數字真能反映出真實的情況嗎?
然而,透過這本書,作者提醒我們應該更宏觀的看待經濟指標,而不要只被片面的數字所迷惑。
數字並不全然反映出真實的狀況,尤其在「各取所需」的狀況之下,真實的狀況往往只會被塗上一層厚厚的粉餅。
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或許就像馬可吐溫所說的,「世界上有三種謊言-謊言、該死的謊言,以及統計數字。」
特別在資訊爆炸的時代當中,我們追求淺顯易懂的表達方式--數據。如果一旦沉迷於數字當中,反而更加難以正視現實的複雜本質。
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「目前人們對於經濟數據的依賴之深,是前所未有的;經濟指標對我們的用處之小,也是前所未有的。」--選自書中
特別在選舉方酣的現下,唯有戴上理性的眼鏡,去看待政治人物掛在嘴邊的經濟指標,做出正確的判斷。不盲目於看待任何一項經濟指標,唯有用心去感受才是最真切的。
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2015/09/10
這本書我想是想要述說,過去的數據發展有其歷史因素,為了解決當下的問題而發展出各樣的數據指標,但過去的指標在發展之初就已經受到技術、人力的總總因素而有所侷限,無法完全提供全面且清晰、正確的視野。

雖然只能得到籠統的統計數據但利用這些資料可以作為政府政策的依據。舉例來說在沒有數據的過往,政府就像在深夜無光的晚間,開著車去沒有任何照明的清況下載著人民前進。而在有數據的提供下,就好像把車子裝上了車燈,讓政府能多少看清楚前方的方向並藉此去發現問題且做調整。這樣的情況確實比沒有數據來的好多了。

但目前總總的數據也使人們模糊了焦距。如我們透過國民所得GDP的高低來衡量人民的生活水準程度,卻無法保證高GDP的國度,其人民是否過的較為幸福。 另外因為統計數據都是依照可評斷的標的來得到的,因此那些模糊、無法定義的指標就不得不捨棄。

當然現今的社會 因科技的進展 我們可以引進先進的技術來改善過去數據內容的不足。同時去深思那些我們無法用數據來表達的元素,如何影響我們的生活,而非對它們視而不見。


About this book, GDP and other economic indicators, I think the author wants to tell the readers one important issue that the economic index was built for solving or explaining special problem in the past. For solving these special problems such as unemployment rates or inflation, government developed some indexes by statistics. Although these indexes offer a lot of information to the government, we still need to know these data cannot represent the whole real world because there are many factors that cannot be measured.

Government made policies to establish centers for employees’ training or try to balance between inflation and that economic situation after they get these indexes.
Two centuries ago, we didn’t have any indexes could that help government departments or agencies to make decisions. We could imagine that it was like driving a car at night but the lights were not turned on, in the situation, accident could happen easily. Nowadays it is getting better when we get some statistics to help us, just like when we are driving at night and we turn on our headlights that help and guide us drive safely. We can find some problems and adjust our direction if we know that path already deviate the targets. This situation, have indexes that we can review, is better than without any statistical data but we still need to remember that the indexes can’t response one hundred percent fully to our real life. For example, we use GDP index to represent people’s life status but this index can’t guarantee that the people are happy when the GDP is high. Another thing, statistical data must be gotten from measurable factors so we have to ignore some elements if we cannot measure them.


I think the book wants to tell us that we can use new technology to get more useful data and detailed information from people and companies anywhere、anytime by mobile phone、Internet or other portable sensors to improve the data that we need. We also need to consider that there are still some elemental factors that cannot be measured until now. We cannot focus on the statistics alone and ignore invisible factors in this world. Everything is important in our life.
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